AP Calculus AB and BC glossary

Doubling time

Doubling time is how long an exponentially growing quantity takes to reach twice its current size. It equals the natural log of 2 divided by the growth constant. The starting amount cancels out of the equation, so the same interval doubles the quantity again from any moment onward.

Solve y0ekt=2y0y_{0}e^{kt} = 2y_{0}. The starting amount cancels, leaving ekt=2e^{kt} = 2, so kt=ln2kt = \ln 2. Nothing about the answer depends on how large the quantity was when you started the clock.

td=ln2k,k>0t_{d} = \frac{\ln 2}{k}, \qquad k > 0

Since ln20.693\ln 2 \approx 0.693, a growth constant of k=0.05k = 0.05 per year gives td=0.6930.0513.9t_{d} = \frac{0.693}{0.05} \approx 13.9 years. That is the arithmetic behind the rule of 70 that finance classes quote, and it is a fast sanity check on any exponential answer you produce.

The mistake

Scaling it linearly. Tripling takes ln3k\frac{\ln 3}{k}, which is about 1.5851.585 doubling times, not 1.51.5. Doubling time is also specific to pure exponential growth: a logistic model has no fixed doubling time, because growth slows as the population nears its carrying capacity.

Appears in: Unit 7: Differential Equations